Sun 09 Aug 2026 · 14:22 UTCNot investment advice. Automated, AI and OSINT based. May contain errors.
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Hormuz ceasefire collapses
First detected 11 Jun · last moved 8w ago · IR
The picture
Active military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz with tanker strikes directly threaten Aramco's primary crude export chokepoint, through which approximately 20% of global oil supply transits.
The signals behind it · 9
3Oil · Nat gas5d ago
Iran signals a near-final deal to end hostilities would reopen Hormuz; tanker rates fell on expectations of restored transit normalcy.
4Oil · FX · Equities · Rates5d ago
Trump cancelled planned strikes on Iran and signalled an imminent agreement to end the war; sanctions relief expectations and de-escalation risk repricing across oil, FX and safe-haven positioning.
3Oil · Nat gas5d ago
Trump signaled a potential US-Iran peace deal by weekend as tanker strikes off Oman killed three seafarers; Hormuz transit risk pricing hinges on whether negotiations move from rhetoric to enforcement pause.
1Oil1w ago
Nuclear diplomacy signal lacking concrete substance; no immediate market transmission unless a binding agreement emerges.
4Equities · Oil · Gold · FX5d ago
Trump announced cancellation of strikes on Iran and touted a peace deal; risk-appetite rebounded sharply across equities and risk assets as Middle East conflict de-escalation priced in.
3Oil · Nat gas · Gold · FX · Equities5d ago
Trump claims Iran deal approved and cancels new strikes; risk-off positioning unwinds as imminent escalation threat recedes.
3Oil · FX · Rates5d ago
Trump claims US and Iran have reached a settlement with documents being finalised; crude oil and FX markets await concrete terms on sanctions and nuclear programme compliance.
4Oil · Nat gas · Rates · Equities5d ago
A ceasefire in the Strait of Hormuz has broken down amid fresh US-Iran attacks and tanker strikes off Oman, with the product tanker Settebello struck and three seafarers missing; insurers will reprice coverage and transit costs through the corridor as immediate hazard perception rises.
4Oil · Rates5d ago
Trump disclosed US covert removal of millions of barrels of Iranian oil; confirmation of enforcement against Iran's oil exports tightens global supply and lifts crude price expectations.