Sun 09 Aug 2026 · 13:07 UTCNot investment advice. Automated, AI and OSINT based. May contain errors.
Command map
Every country shaded by its composite risk level, with the chokepoints that carry the trade drawn on top. Switch the base to the seven-day change, replay the archive, and hover anything for the figures behind it.
Command map
CountryLevelSignals · 30dDirection
Bahrain4 High18 /30d▴ rising
Kuwait4 High27 /30d— steady
Saudi Arabia4 High69 /30d— steadyUnited Arab Emirates4 High73 /30d— steadyYemen4 High27 /30d— steadyBrazil3 Elevated7 /30d— steadyIran3 Elevated211 /30d— steadyIraq3 Elevated11 /30d— steadyJapan3 Elevated23 /30d— steadyJordan3 Elevated7 /30d— steady
Netherlands3 Elevated5 /30d— steady
Oman3 Elevated61 /30d— steady
Panama3 Elevated6 /30d— steadyQatar3 Elevated31 /30d▾ easingUnited States3 Elevated265 /30d— steadyVenezuela3 Elevated13 /30d— steadyAlgeria2 Guarded3 /30d— steadyAngola2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Argentina2 Guarded6 /30d— steady
Armenia2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Azerbaijan2 Guarded3 /30d— steadyCambodia2 Guarded1 /30d— steady
Chile2 Guarded2 /30d— steadyChina2 Guarded67 /30d— steadyCôte d’Ivoire2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Cyprus2 Guarded3 /30d— steady
Denmark2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Ecuador2 Guarded3 /30d— steady
Egypt2 Guarded40 /30d— steadyGabon2 Guarded—— steady
Germany2 Guarded20 /30d— steadyGreece2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
India2 Guarded35 /30d— steadyIndonesia2 Guarded5 /30d— steadyIreland2 Guarded4 /30d— steady
Israel2 Guarded39 /30d— steadyKazakhstan2 Guarded2 /30d— steadyKyrgyzstan2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Lebanon2 Guarded8 /30d— steady
Morocco2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Nigeria2 Guarded2 /30d— steadyPhilippines2 Guarded5 /30d— steady
Poland2 Guarded4 /30d— steady
Romania2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Russia2 Guarded56 /30d— steadySlovakia2 Guarded1 /30d— steady
Somalia2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
South Africa2 Guarded3 /30d— steadySouth Korea2 Guarded20 /30d— steadySwitzerland2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Syria2 Guarded10 /30d▴ rising
Thailand2 Guarded5 /30d— steady
Trinidad & Tobago2 Guarded1 /30d— steady
Turkmenistan2 Guarded2 /30d— steady
Ukraine2 Guarded39 /30d— steadyUzbekistan2 Guarded1 /30d— steady
Afghanistan1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Australia1 Quiet14 /30d— steady
Bahamas1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Bangladesh1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Belgium1 Quiet6 /30d— steady
Bhutan1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Bolivia1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Burkina Faso1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Canada1 Quiet17 /30d— steady
Central African Republic1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Chad1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Colombia1 Quiet5 /30d— steady
Congo - Brazzaville1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Cuba1 Quiet2 /30d— steady
Djibouti1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Dominican Republic1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
DR Congo1 Quiet10 /30d— steadyEl Salvador1 Quiet2 /30d— steady
Equatorial Guinea1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Ethiopia1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
France1 Quiet47 /30d— steadyFrench Guiana1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Georgia1 Quiet—— steadyGhana1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
Guadeloupe1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Guinea-Bissau1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Haiti1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Hong Kong SAR China1 Quiet5 /30d— steady
Hungary1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
Italy1 Quiet10 /30d— steady
Kenya1 Quiet4 /30d— steady
Laos1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
Libya1 Quiet—— steadyLiechtenstein1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Luxembourg1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Malaysia1 Quiet1 /30d— steadyMali1 Quiet2 /30d— steady
Malta1 Quiet—— steady
Martinique1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Mauritius1 Quiet—— steady
Mexico1 Quiet4 /30d— steadyMicronesia1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Montenegro1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Myanmar (Burma)1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
New Caledonia1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
New Zealand1 Quiet2 /30d— steady
North Korea1 Quiet3 /30d— steady
North Macedonia1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Norway1 Quiet1 /30d— steadyPakistan1 Quiet4 /30d— steadyPalestinian Territories1 Quiet13 /30d— steady
Papua New Guinea1 Quiet2 /30d— steady
Peru1 Quiet1 /30d— steadyPortugal1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Rwanda1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
São Tomé & Príncipe1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Senegal1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Sierra Leone1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Solomon Islands1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Spain1 Quiet21 /30d— steady
Sri Lanka1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
St. Kitts & Nevis1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
St. Lucia1 Quiet—— steady
St. Vincent & Grenadines1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Sudan1 Quiet5 /30d— steadySweden1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Taiwan1 Quiet6 /30d— steadyTajikistan1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Turkey1 Quiet3 /30d— steadyTurks & Caicos Islands1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Uganda1 Quiet8 /30d— steady
United Kingdom1 Quiet94 /30d— steadyVanuatu1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
Zimbabwe1 Quiet1 /30d— steady
3 countries changed level over 7D, and 2 of them rose. None reached Severe.
Movers · 7D
01BAHRAIN▴ 1 levelIran supreme leader vows 'unforgettable lessons in store' for U.S. after calling off interim peace agreement
02QATAR▾ 1 levelQatarEnergy leases out idle fleet as Hormuz closure halts core LNG exports - Baird Maritime03SYRIA▴ 1 levelThousands Of Trucks Haul Iraq’s Oil Through Syria In Sign Of Hormuz Legacy
Chokepoints
Hormuz is the only chokepoint below half its baseline. 3 of 6 sit within 10% of normal.
01 HORMUZ◇ Severe 5 of 5
9%of baseline3.7/day · 12w
02 BOSPORUS◇ Quiet 1 of 5
69%of baseline60.9/day · 12w
03 MANDEB◇ Elevated 3 of 5
82%of baseline28.9/day · 12w
04 MALACCA◇ Quiet 1 of 5
95%of baseline221/day · 12w
05 SUEZ◇ Quiet 1 of 5
102%of baseline41.6/day · 12w
06 PANAMA◇ Quiet 1 of 5
92%of baseline29.7/day · 12w
Quiet <1.5Guarded 1.5-2.0Elevated 2.0-2.5High 2.5-3.0Severe ≥3.0mean assessed severity, 30d◇ Chokepoint
Replaying 111 archived days, 2026-04-16 to 2026-08-04 · 78 distinct states, because no signal was published on the repeated days. The range grows daily.
What this map can and cannot tell you. Level 1 to 5 from the mean assessed severity of signals touching each country over 30 days, adjusted by each country's own geopolitical risk index relative to its five-year range. Countries with no signals in the window show as quiet. Levels as of 2026-08-04. The archive replays 111 days; frames before today are reconstructed from the corpus as we assess it now, not a record of what this page showed on the day. Chokepoint status uses the same five words as the country ramp and the same 1 to 5 scale, measured on a different quantity: the seven-day transit average against that chokepoint's own trailing twelve-month baseline. Within 10% is Quiet, a fall of 10 to 20% is Elevated, 20 to 35% is High, and beyond 35% is Severe. A rise scores one step lower than a fall of the same size, because more ships through a strait is usually rerouting.