Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 01:31 UTCNot investment advice. Automated, AI and OSINT based. May contain errors.
Arc flow map · table · 3 of 5 monitored
| Corridor | Status | Driver | Of baseline | Chokepoints | Derivation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia-Europe | disrupted | Mandeb | 69% | Suez, Mandeb | bab_el_mandeb transits 31.3% below baseline (disrupted at 20%) |
| Atlantic | not monitored | — | — | none measured | open-ocean crossing: no member chokepoint, so no transit measurement exists |
| Gulf energy exports | disrupted | Hormuz | 6% | Hormuz | hormuz transits 94.0% below baseline (disrupted at 20%) |
| Panama corridor | normal | Panama | 95% | Panama | panama transits 5.3% below baseline, inside the 10% band |
| Transpacific | not monitored | — | — | none measured | open-ocean crossing: no member chokepoint, so no transit measurement exists |
| Transits/day | Baseline | Comparator | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz | 4.6 | 64.2 | 7% | +18.5% | L5 | anchored to pre-2026-02-11 conditions |
| Bosporus | 60.4 | 86.7 | 70% | -8.8% | L4 | 12-month trailing average |
| Mandeb | 26.9 | 34.6 | 78% | +12.6% | L4 | 12-month trailing average |
| Panama | 28.7 | 32.0 | 90% | -5.6% | L3 | 12-month trailing average |
| Malacca | 224.1 | 230.9 | 97% | +2.6% | L1 | 12-month trailing average |
| Suez | 41.1 | 40.8 | 101% | +4.0% | L1 | 12-month trailing average |
Share is always percent of baseline, never percent below. A corridor that is not monitored crosses open ocean with no member chokepoint, so no transit measurement exists for it, and that is not the same as running normally.
Gulf energy exports
Throughput of baseline
6%Statusdisrupted
set by Hormuz · anchored to pre-2026-02-11 conditionsStatus derivation
hormuz transits 94.0% below baseline (disrupted at 20%)
Transits / day4.67-day average
Baseline / day64.2anchored
Week / week+18.5%pipeline figure
SeverityL5ramp 1 → 5
12-week transitsdotted = baseline · anchored
Current closure · running3 episodes · trailing 12 mo
174days and counting
onset 2026-02-22 · 84% below baseline on average3 disruption episodes in the last 12 months; the current one began 2026-02-22 and has run 174 days.
Routing
Hormuz transits are at 6% of baseline; there is no maritime alternative to Hormuz, and the only partial workarounds are overland: the Saudi East-West pipeline to the Red Sea and the Abu Dhabi line to Fujairah, which together move a fraction of normal volumes.
Chokepoints · 7-day average transits per dayDotted rule is each chokepoint's own baseline